Nate Silver is pretty good at the political guessing game. The New York Times polling blogger predicted which states both President Obama and Mitt Romney would win during yesterday’s election.
Using a carefully constructed fusion method that includes polling data probabilities, Silver was accurately able to figure out the end result of the race to the White House.
Political pundits initially slammed Silver’s abilities, but are likely eating their words today. “Journalists who professed to be political experts were shown to be well connected, well-informed perhaps,but-on the thing that ultimately decided the result: how people were planning to vote – not well educated,” wrote fellow journalist Paul Bradshaw. “They were left reporting opinions, while Nate Silver and others reported research.”
All of the fodder probably increased Silver’s Google searches since he received mentions from several news people, including MSNBC host, Rachel Maddow.
Given his new found fame, and seeing an opportunity to strike when the iron is hot, Silver took to Twitter to promote his new book, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don’t, yesterday.
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